Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Rod Kay

Team: Eccleston ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

930

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

38

Matches Played

12

Wins

26

Losses

32%

Win Rate

7.6

Avg Win Margin

8.7

Avg Loss Margin

8-12

Home Record

4-14

Away Record

86%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
38 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/12/2023

A solid recent sample: 38 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins12/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 38 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr7 Jun5 Jul10 Aug18 Apr23 May18 Jul12 Sept-125811

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
32%
score-0.37→contribution-0.15
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.6
score-0.07→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.7
score-0.12→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
992
score-0.38→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.271
Sample Size Confidence
86%(38/41 matches)
Rating919 → shrunk 930
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

12W26L38 matches·31.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Eccleston A2022–2023Division 138122631.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/12/2023Connor FlahertyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
9/5/2023Joe JacksonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023John LesterH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2023Anthony GartsideA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023Billy SpeedH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023D HughesA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Colin DugganA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023Paul KellyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
7/4/2023Phil AspinallA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023John BartonH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
6/13/2023Paul GartsideH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Andy ToppingA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Eddie HarrisonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Michael PollockH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
5/2/2023Chris TarbuckA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023Tex AllenH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023Roland GaskellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Steve JohnsonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Liam McEganH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
8/31/2022Paul GartsideA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
8/16/2022Danny MillerA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
8/10/2022John MorganH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Alan WaterworthH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
7/26/2022Colin WilsonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/19/2022UnknownH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2022Jimmy NolanA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
7/5/2022Terry KellyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/29/2022Dave EverittH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 1
6/28/2022Danny BarwiseA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Anthony MaleyH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2022Danny MillerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022N RodgersA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022B WhalleyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
5/17/2022Steve JohnsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022Shaun GoldthorpeA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022Chris TarbuckA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Daniel LofthouseH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
4/12/2022Carl DoyleA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LLWLLWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Paul Gartside11250%6/13/2023
Chris Tarbuck0220%5/2/2023
Steve Johnson0220%4/11/2023
Danny Miller0220%8/16/2022
Connor Flaherty0110%9/12/2023
Joe Jackson0110%9/5/2023
John Lester101100%8/29/2023
Anthony Gartside0110%8/8/2023
Billy Speed0110%8/1/2023
D Hughes101100%7/25/2023
Biggest Win
Dave Everitt (+17)6/29/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Eddie Harrison (-15)5/16/2023
Best Season
202240% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202322% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
42% → 21%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
99238 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-1810% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
10-856% win rate
Division 131.6%
12W·26L·38 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 12, 2023

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.0 (38 total)

Seasons

20222023